Saturday, September 11, 2010

Tale of the Tape | Dallas @ Washington | Week One

I've spent my afternoon trying to figure out how to get my analysis tables into this blog, as blogger's posting interface was far from helpful.  That said, I finally found a way that presented the tables in a legible manner; given that I'm a former programmer this shouldn't have been this painful.

Anyway, this entry marks the first installment of "Tale of the Tape."  I apologize to my non-Redskins readers, as this series (exclusive to Inside the Cap) over the course of the season will compare the Redskins' current guaranteed money commitments to their starters versus the current guaranteed money commitments to the Redskins' weekly opponent's starters.  Hopefully, the numbers allow the reader to see how the Redskins compare to their opponents via the compensation metric that is most important in the NFL player contract landscape, guaranteed money.  Guaranteed money is the chosen metric for this analysis because it's telling of the perceived quality of the player.

Couple of notes regarding the content below.  The next to each starters' name you will see how the player was acquired by the club (thanks to Ourlads.com).  Also, players whose contracts have been traded to their current team may or may not have guaranteed money that is the responsibility of the current team.  For example, Donovan McNabb's contract contains 3.5M in guaranteed salary that is the responsibility of the Redskins; conversely, Adam Carriker's contract contained guaranteed money, but that money has been paid and was the responsibility of the Rams.

The second table takes a cumulative look at guaranteed money committed to position groups.  The first comparison looks at a group seven players versus the opponent's group of seven; on offense this group of seven consists of the 5 starting offensive linemen, fullback, and quarterback versus the defense's group of defensive linemen (in the case of a 3-4 defense, three down linemen) and linebackers (four in the case of a 3-4).  The second comparison looks at the four offensive and defensive starters on the perimeter; so for the offense the group consists of the wide receivers, running back, and tight end versus the defense's group of cornerbacks and safeties.

If guaranteed money is the indicator of perceived quality of a player, then Jerry Jones' Cowboys are perceived to be a better team than Dan Snyder's Redskins.  It will be interesting to see over the course of the season, which team or teams consist of quality players with little guaranteed money committed to them.

TALE OF THE TAPE: GUARANTEED MONEY
REDSKINS
COWBOYS
Pos
No
Player
Guar $
Guar $
Pos
No
Player
Offense
$87,975,500
$147,061,368
Offense
LWR
84
GALLOWAY, JOEY U/Pit
$0
$27,000,000
LWR
11
Williams, Roy T/Det
RWR
89
MOSS, SANTANA T/NYJ
$10,000,000
$18,000,000
RWR
19
Austin, Miles CF06
LT
72
Williams, Trent 10/1
$36,750,000
$425,000
LT
68
Free, Doug 07/4
LG
66
DOCKERY, DERRICK 03/3
$8,200,000
$5,000,000
LG
63
KOSIER, KYLE U/Det
C
61
RABACH, CASEY U/Bal
$4,200,000
$10,000,000
C
65
GURODE, ANDRE 02/2
RG
75
HICKS, ARTIS U/Min
$1,000,000
$17,750,000
RG
70
DAVIS, LEONARD U/Arz
RT
77
Brown, Jammal T/NO
$0
$11,500,000
RT
75
COLOMBO, MARC SF05
TE
47
Cooley, Chris 04/3
$14,000,000
$12,000,000
TE
82
Witten, Jason 03/3
QB
5
MCNABB, DONOVAN T/Phi
$3,500,000
$29,294,118
QB
9
ROMO, TONY CF03
FB
45
SELLERS, MIKE CF98
$1,000,000
$92,250
FB
34
Anderson, Deon 07/6
RB
26
Portis, Clinton T/Den
$9,325,500
$16,000,000
RB
24
Barber, Marion 05/4
Defense
$70,900,000
$102,847,000
Defense
LDE
94
Carriker, Adam T/SL
$0
$0
LDE
96
Spears, Marcus 05/1
NT
96
KEMOEATU, MA'AKE CC/Car
$300,000
$8,000,000
NT
90
Ratliff, Jay 05/7
RDE
64
Golston, Kedric 06/6
$0
$8,000,000
RDE
99
Olshansky, Igor U/SD
LOLB
98
Orakpo, Brian 09/1
$12,100,000
$6,407,000
LOLB
93
Spencer, Anthony 07/1
LILB
59
FLETCHER, LONDON U/Buf
$10,500,000
$8,000,000
LILB
56
James, Bradie 03/4
RILB
52
McIntosh, Rocky 06/2
$0
$2,500,000
RILB
51
BROOKING, KEITH U/Atl
ROLB
99
CARTER, ANDRE U/SF
$9,000,000
$40,000,000
ROLB
94
Ware, Demarcus 05/1
LCB
22
Rogers, Carlos 05/1
$0
$21,895,000
LCB
41
NEWMAN, TERENCE 03/1
SS
30
Landry, LaRon 07/1
$17,500,000
$1,000,000
SS
43
Sensabaugh, Gerald U/Jax
FS
37
Doughty, Reed RFA/2
$0
$0
FS
20
Ball, Alan 07/7
RCB
23
Hall, DeAngelo SF08
$21,500,000
$7,045,000
RCB
21
Jenkins, Mike 08/1
Special Teams
$0
$3,448,500
Special Teams
P
6
BIDWELL, JOSH CC/TB
$0
$2,500,000
P
1
MCBRIAR, MAT SF03
PK
4
Gano, Graham SF09
$0
$148,500
PK
18
Buehler, David 09/5
LS
57
Sundberg, Nick SF10
$0
$800,000
LS
91
Ladouceur, LP SF05
TEAM TOTAL
$158,875,500
$253,356,868
TEAM TOTAL

Notes from the Individual Starters Analysis:
- I'd bet you'd be hard pressed to find another team in the NFL that has committed more guaranteed money to its starters than the Cowboys at $253M

- The battle between LT Trent Williams and OLB DeMarcus Ware represents $36M guaranteed versus $40M guaranteed.

- 8 of the Cowboys' 11 starters have contracts guaranteeing them in excess of $10M

- Players with $0 guaranteed represent players who have higher desire to perform well, as they're seeking the all important next contract with some level of guaranteed money.  To this point, the Cowboys have 2 players with no money guaranteed, while the Redskins have 10 players (inclusive of their K, P, & LS).

TALE OF THE TAPE, POSITION GROUPS: GUARANTEED MONEY
REDSKINS
COWBOYS
Offense
Defense
Trenches + QB
$54,650,000
$72,907,000
Front 7
Skill
$33,325,500
$29,940,000
Back 4
Total
$87,975,500
$102,847,000
Total
Defense
Offense
Front 7
$31,900,000
$74,061,368
Trenches + QB
Back 4
$39,000,000
$73,000,000
Skill
Total
$70,900,000
$147,061,368
Total
Special Teams
Special Teams
Total
$0
$3,448,500
Total
Team Total
$158,875,500
$253,356,868
Team Total
Definitions: Trenches + QB = OL, TE, FB, QB; Skill = WRs, TE, RB; Front 7 = DL, LBs; Back 4 = DBs; Teams = K, P, LS


Notes from the Position Group Analysis:
- based solely upon guaranteed money, the only position group the Redskins have an advantage is their skill players versus the Cowboys' secondary; this comes in large part to Cowboys safety Alan Ball currently playing on an exclusive rights 1-year tender, and cornerback Mike Jenkins and safety Gerald Sensabaugh both have a million or less in guaranteed money.

- the Cowboys' offense easily doubles the Redskins' defense in total guaranteed money.

- the Cowboys have committed 63% more in guaranteed money to their starters than the Redskins have to their own starters; the HUGE caveat being that Albert Haynesworth's $41M guarantee is not included in this analysis.

- the difference in guaranteed money between the Redskins offense and Cowboys defense is only approximately $15M, so one could assume the the Redskins offense should be able to fare decently well against the vaunted Cowboys defense.  However, if guaranteed money is an indicator, then Redskins defense simply doesn't have the horses to compete with the Cowboys offense.

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